30.11.09 | 23:34 | Uncategorized 0 Comments

More heat, more war, more military

Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

There are,  a new study published  by the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences has found,

strong historical linkages between civil war and temperature in Africa, with warmer years leading to significant increases in the likelihood of war. When combined with climate model projections of future temperature trends, this historical response to temperature suggests a roughly 54% increase in armed conflict incidence by 2030, or an additional 393,000 battle deaths if future wars are as deadly as recent wars.

How will we face this development? The military seems to have put quite a lot of thought into the violent social consequences of climate change, shows a statement by retired vice admiral Dennis McGinn before the United States Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works on Ocober 28:

Climate-driven disruption is such a viable threat that the Pentagon has already started to prepare contingencies for such scenarios.

Warns Bradford Plumer from The New Republic, we shouldn't "militarize the climate debate". The frame military planners set might be to limited -  as they focus  mainly on armed responses.

But since neither politicians nor consumers seem to do enough to reverse course, one day we might have no other choice than turn towards military strategists for help.